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Winner's Curse Applet

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Description: Discussion of and applet demonstrating the winner's curse. The applet allows one to try different bidding strategies, and simulates results, calculating expected payoffs.
Game Theory .net - Winner's Curse Applet Interactive applets on Game Theory How much should you offer for a company of uncertain valuation? This applet demonstrates the winner's curse. You are the Chief Financial Officer for your firm. Your firm is considering making a takeover offer for a small, privately-held Internet startup. The "true" value, V, of the shares of the startup are known with certainty only to its management. However, valuing Internet startups is quite challenging, and you only know that the shares are worth somewhere between $0 and $1000 per block of shares, and each possible value has equal probability. So, as far as you are concerned, someone has thrown a 1001 sided die, with each face having an integer between 0 and 1000, to determine the share value, V, and the outcome of this toss of the die was observed by the startup's management but not by you.
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Page title:Game Theory .net - Winner's Curse Applet
Keywords:Game Theory Business Strategy Bayes Rule online applet simulation
Description:Simulation of Winner's Curse. Part of Mike Shor's lecture notes for a course in Game Theory.
IP-address:129.59.210.198

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Creation Date: 17-may-2001
Expiration Date: 17-may-2015